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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The SKYex Community Stadium

Hayes & Yeading
1 - 3
Margate

FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Hayes & Yeading and Margate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hayes & Yeading

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Last Game: Margate 0-0 Hayes & Yeading
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Margate

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Last Game: Margate 0-0 Hayes & Yeading
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Margate win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Hayes & Yeading had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Margate win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hayes & Yeading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Margate would win this match.

Result
Hayes & YeadingDrawMargate
35.2% (0.749 0.75)23.59% (0.07 0.07)41.21% (-0.822 -0.82)
Both teams to score 62.72% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.172 -0.17)39.12% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (-0.18 -0.18)61.45% (0.175 0.18)
Hayes & Yeading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.319 0.32)22.24% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (0.482 0.48)55.67% (-0.486 -0.49)
Margate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)19.34% (0.426 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.711 -0.71)51.12% (0.706 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Hayes & Yeading 35.2%
    Margate 41.21%
    Draw 23.59%
Hayes & YeadingDrawMargate
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 41.21%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Margate
0-0
Hayes & Yeading