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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
High Road

Epsom & Ewell FC
1 - 3
Hayes & Yeading

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Epsom & Ewell FC and Hayes & Yeading.

Form, Standings, Stats

Epsom & Ewell FC

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Last Game: Phoenix Sports 1-3 Epsom & Ewell FC
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Hayes & Yeading

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Last Game: Hayes & Yeading 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hayes & Yeading win with a probability of 62.25%. A win for Epsom & Ewell FC had a probability of 19.58% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hayes & Yeading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Epsom & Ewell FC win was 2-1 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hayes & Yeading would win this match.

Result
Epsom & Ewell FCDrawHayes & Yeading
19.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)18.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)62.25% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 68.67% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.52% (0.108 0.11)25.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.45% (0.14 0.14)45.54% (-0.142 -0.14)
Epsom & Ewell FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.128 0.13)25.28% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.175 0.17)60.04% (-0.177 -0.18)
Hayes & Yeading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)8.09% (-0.017099999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)28.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Epsom & Ewell FC 19.58%
    Hayes & Yeading 62.25%
    Draw 18.17%
Epsom & Ewell FCDrawHayes & Yeading
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 19.58%
1-1 @ 7.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 5.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 3.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 3.22% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 62.25%

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