FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hartsdown Park

Margate
4 - 0
Loxwood

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Margate and Loxwood.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Loxwood 3-1 British Airways
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Margate win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Loxwood had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Margate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Loxwood win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Margate would win this match.

Result
MargateDrawLoxwood
61.69% (0.457 0.46)19.89% (-0.116 -0.12)18.41% (-0.346 -0.35)
Both teams to score 59.54% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.94% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)36.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)58.17% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Margate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.72% (0.10899999999999 0.11)11.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.1% (0.244 0.24)35.9% (-0.248 -0.25)
Loxwood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (-0.377 -0.38)32.89% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (-0.42 -0.42)69.46% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Margate 61.69%
    Loxwood 18.41%
    Draw 19.89%
MargateDrawLoxwood
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 18.41%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Margate
rhs 2.0


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