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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haywood Way

Aylesbury
0 - 3
Bognor Regis

FT(HT: 0-0)
Higgs (52')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Aylesbury and Bognor Regis Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aylesbury

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Last Game: Aylesbury 3-2 Corsham Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Bognor Regis Town

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Last Game: Bognor Regis 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bognor Regis Town win with a probability of 74.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Aylesbury had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bognor Regis Town win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-3 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.21%), while for an Aylesbury win it was 2-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bognor Regis Town would win this match.

Result
AylesburyDrawBognor Regis Town
11.52% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)13.78% (0.004999999999999 0)74.69% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.21% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)38.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Aylesbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.72% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Bognor Regis Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.28% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)4.71% (0.0028999999999995 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.89% (-0.012 -0.01)19.1% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aylesbury 11.53%
    Bognor Regis Town 74.69%
    Draw 13.78%
AylesburyDrawBognor Regis Town
2-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
1-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
2-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 11.53%
1-1 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 13.78%
1-3 @ 8.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.39%
1-5 @ 3.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 3.68%
0-5 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-5 @ 2.25%
1-6 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.46%
2-6 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 74.69%

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