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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haywood Way

Aylesbury
3 - 2
Corsham Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Aylesbury and Corsham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corsham Town win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Aylesbury had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corsham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Aylesbury win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
AylesburyDrawCorsham Town
25.51%20.55%53.94%
Both teams to score 67.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.27%29.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.13%50.86%
Aylesbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24%
Corsham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63%11.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.91%36.09%
Score Analysis
    Aylesbury 25.51%
    Corsham Town 53.94%
    Draw 20.55%
AylesburyDrawCorsham Town
2-1 @ 6.11%
1-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 2.97%
2-0 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.18%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 25.51%
1-1 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 2.65%
3-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.55%
1-2 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 4.82%
0-3 @ 4.54%
1-4 @ 3.59%
2-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.47%
1-5 @ 1.56%
3-4 @ 1.27%
2-5 @ 1.14%
0-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.94%