FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
2 - 0
Margate

Ogunwamide (10'), Hester-Cook (31')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Horsham and Margate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Margate

Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Margate had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Margate win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.

Result
Horsham	Draw	Margate
64.25%	19.49%	16.26%

Both teams to score 56.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.9%

38.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.63%

60.36%

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.79%

11.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.26%

35.74%

Margate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44%

36.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65%

73.34%

Score Analysis

Horsham 64.25%

Margate 16.26%

Draw 19.49%

Horsham	Draw	Margate
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 3.94% 4-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 4.33% Total : 64.25%	1-1 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.49%	1-2 @ 4.54% 0-1 @ 4.12% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.67% 1-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.26%