Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%).