Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	West Ham United Under-21s
27.93% ( -0.08)	20.39% ( -0.05)	51.68% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 71.05% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.26% (

0.19)

26.74% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.85% (

0.24)

47.15% (

-0.24)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

0.05)

20.19% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

0.08)

52.49% (

-0.08)

West Ham United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02% (

0.1)

10.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.77% (

0.22)

35.23% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 27.93%

West Ham United Under-21s 51.68%

Draw 20.39%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	West Ham United Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.93%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.39%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.68%