/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
-
Amadou Mbengue
12'
-
Garcia Garcia
28'
-
Harvey Knibbs
73'
-
Jayden Wareham
75'
-
Harvey Knibbs
87'
Reading vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fruben-selles.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result
Reading
62.67%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
20.64%
▼
(-0.10)
Newport County
16.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
53.24%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.37%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
42.63%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
34.96%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 3.5
65.03%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 4.5
18.24%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
81.76%
▼
(-0.30)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
86.99%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
13.01%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
60.45%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
39.54%
▼
(-0.34)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
61.2%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
38.8%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
24.46%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
75.53%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Reading
62.66%
Draw
20.64%
Newport County
16.69%
Reading
2-0
@
10.49%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 62.66%
1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 62.66%
Draw
1-1
@
9.75%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.20)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.64%
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.20)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.64%
Newport County
0-1
@
4.78%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.69%
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.69%