Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Newport County
62.67% ( 0.13)	20.64% ( -0.1)	16.69% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

0.4)

42.63% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

0.39)

65.03% (

-0.4)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99% (

0.16)

13.01% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.45% (

0.33)

39.54% (

-0.33)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

0.2)

38.8% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

0.19)

75.53% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Reading 62.66%

Newport County 16.69%

Draw 20.64%

Reading	Draw	Newport County
2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 62.66%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.64%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.69%