League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Reading
49.7% ( 0.84)	24.37% ( -0.12)	25.93% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 54.71% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-0.03)

47.33% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0.03)

69.55% (

0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

0.33)

19.08% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

0.54)

50.69% (

-0.55)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-0.59)

32.38% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-0.67)

68.9% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 49.7%

Reading 25.93%

Draw 24.37%

Exeter City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.93%