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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Reading
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Smith (66')
Bindon (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Omochere (21'), Taylor (21'), Forde (32'), Hunt (89'), Moore (90+2')
Forde (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
43.59% (-3.462 -3.46)24.56% (-0.023 -0.02)31.85% (3.487 3.49)
Both teams to score 58.1% (2.092 2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (1.851 1.85)44.7% (-1.85 -1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (1.762 1.76)67.06% (-1.76 -1.76)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)20.61% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-1.189 -1.19)53.15% (1.19 1.19)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (3.29 3.29)26.82% (-3.288 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (4.134 4.13)62.12% (-4.134 -4.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.59%
    Bristol Rovers 31.85%
    Draw 24.55%
ReadingDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.936 -0.94)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.918 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.59%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.342 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.596 0.6)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.53 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.367 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.376 0.38)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Reading vs Bristol Rovers

Reading
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading

Hunt (90'), Conteh (90+2')
Smith (8'), Wing (45')
Nov 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Reading
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Smith (40')
Savage (24'), Hutchinson (49'), Craig (87')
Martin (57')
Mangan (25'), Finley (82')
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Reading
Samuel (39'), Blackman (65')