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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 43.59% ( | 24.56% ( | 31.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( | 44.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( | 20.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( | 53.15% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( | 26.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( | 62.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.85% |