League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 1
Reading

Kemp (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knibbs (82')
Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Guiseley (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Reading
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Reading
46.7% ( 3.28)	24.34% ( 0.38)	28.95% ( -3.66)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

-3.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.86% (

-3.47)

45.13% (

3.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

-3.42)

67.48% (

3.42)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

-0.02)

19.44% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

-0.02)

51.28% (

0.02)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-4.08)

28.96% (

4.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-5.36)

64.85% (

5.36)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 46.7%

Reading 28.95%

Draw 24.34%

Stevenage	Draw	Reading
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.3) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.7%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.8) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.95%