League One Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Alex Revell 32' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 67' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 71' goal
  • Luther Wildin 80' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Santos 13'
  • goal John McAtee 16'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 31'
  • yellowcard George Johnston 59'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 61'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 78'
  • goal Dion Charles 88'

Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Rotherham 2 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 1 - 0 Peterborough
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 36.09% (+0.07)
Draw 26.75% (-0.06)
Bolton Wanderers 37.15% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.64% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 53.36% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 25.1% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 74.9% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.42% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.58% (-0.12)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 71.6% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 28.4% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.85% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 64.15% (-0.18)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 72.23% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 27.77% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 36.65% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 63.35% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Stevenage 36.09%
Draw 26.74%
Bolton Wanderers 37.15%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.74%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.15%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 75'
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 76'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 13' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 49' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 70' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 20'
  • goal Jamie Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 69'
League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Declan John 7' goal
  • Jordan Williams 78' redcard
  • George Thomason 85' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Tom Pett 44' goal
  • Arthur Iontton 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Pett 62' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 14'
  • goal Ali Crawford 36'
  • yellowcard Andrew Tutte 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 86'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 90'