League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 4
Bolton

Kemp (71')
Revell (32'), Phillips (67'), Wildin (80'), Butler (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Santos (13'), McAtee (16'), Adeboyejo (61'), Charles (88')
Sheehan (31'), Johnston (59'), Santos (73'), Southwood (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
36.09% ( 0.06)	26.75% ( -0.05)	37.15% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

0.22)

53.36% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.19)

74.9% (

-0.19)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

0.14)

28.4% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85% (

0.18)

64.15% (

-0.18)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.1)

27.77% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

0.13)

63.35% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 36.09%

Bolton Wanderers 37.15%

Draw 26.74%

Stevenage	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.09%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.15%