League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Stevenage

O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
44.75% ( 0.11)	25.78% ( 0)	29.48% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

-0.07)

51% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

-0.06)

72.87% (

0.06)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.02)

22.73% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.03)

56.41% (

-0.03)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41% (

-0.12)

31.59% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32% (

-0.13)

68% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 44.75%

Stevenage 29.48%

Draw 25.77%

Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.48%