MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 03:07:49| >> :600:105976:105976:
Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
2 - 0
Stevenage

Mothersille (12'), Sparkes (43')
O'Brien-Brady (25'), Nevett (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Aboh (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-0 Stevenage

The hosts have got the better of Tuesday's opposition in each of their last two meetings, and with the visitors without an away win in 13 games, we expect another home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
43.28% (-0.406 -0.41) 25.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 31.48% (0.419 0.42)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.237 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.221 0.22)47.86% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.201 0.2)70.05% (-0.202 -0.2)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)22.08% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-0.144 -0.14)55.43% (0.144 0.14)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.39 0.39)28.62% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (0.485 0.48)64.42% (-0.485 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 43.28%
    Stevenage 31.48%
    Draw 25.24%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.48%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
23.1%
Stevenage
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-1
Stevenage
O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')
Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')
Mar 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
3-1
Stevenage
Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
Freeman (85')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
rhs 2.0
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