Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
43.28% ( -0.41)	25.24% ( -0.01)	31.48% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 55.62% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

0.22)

47.86% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

0.2)

70.05% (

-0.2)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0.09)

22.08% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

-0.14)

55.43% (

0.14)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

0.39)

28.62% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

0.48)

64.42% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 43.28%

Stevenage 31.48%

Draw 25.24%

Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.28%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.48%