EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Malik Mothersille 12' goal
  • Donay O'Brien-Brady 25' yellowcard
  • George Nevett 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Sparkes 43' goal
  • yellowcard Ken Aboh 40'

Peterborough United vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 2 Peterborough

Stevenage

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Palace U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result

Peterborough United 43.28% (-0.41)
Draw 25.24% (-0.02)
Stevenage 31.48% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.62% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.13% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 47.86% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 29.95% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 70.05% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 14.64% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 85.36% (-0.14)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 77.92% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.08% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 44.56% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.43% (+0.15)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 71.38% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 28.62% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 35.58% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 64.42% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 43.28%
Draw 25.24%
Stevenage 31.48%
Peterborough United
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Donay O'Brien-Brady 6' goal
  • Oscar Wallin 68' yellowcard
  • Archie Collins 78' yellowcard
  • Kwame Poku 90'+5' goal
  • James Dornelly 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 24'
  • goal Louis Thompson 64'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 74'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Hector Kyprianou 33' yellowcard
  • Harrison Burrows 44' goal
  • Jadel Katongo 64' goal
  • Kwame Poku 77' goal
  • goal Nick Freeman 85'
League One Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Luther Wildin 22' goal
  • Ben Thompson 30' goal
  • Carl Piergianni 34' yellowcard
  • Taye Ashby-Hammond 66' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Randall 51'
  • goal Ricky Jade-Jones 81'
EFL Trophy
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 9' goal
  • Josh Knight 50' yellowcard
  • goal J 18'
  • yellowcard Jake Reeves 32'
  • yellowcard Saxon Earley 50'
  • goal Carl Piergianni 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jake Taylor 70' yellowcard
  • Jamie Reid 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 2'
  • yellowcard Josh Knight 64'
FA Cup Gameweek 1
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mohamed Eisa 11' goal
  • Ivan Toney 55' yellowcard
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 94' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Fernandez 56'