Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.