League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
0 - 1
Stevenage

Cargill (24'), Reed (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Young (32')
Wildin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Stevenage
43.26% ( 0.65)	25.28% ( -0.3)	31.45% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.94% (

1.18)

48.05% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

1.07)

70.22% (

-1.07)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.82)

22.16% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

1.22)

55.56% (

-1.22)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

0.36)

28.73% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

0.44)

64.56% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 43.26%

Stevenage 31.45%

Draw 25.27%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.45%