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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 39.68% ( | 27.2% ( | 33.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( | 55.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( | 76.65% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( | 31.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( | 67.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 39.67% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.13% |