League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 3
Rotherham

Dornelly (17'), Rafferty (51' og.), Fernandez (53')
Wallin (22'), Dornelly (32'), Randall (48')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Nombe (19'), Wilks (23'), Clarke-Harris (45+1')
Evans (23'), Wilks (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Rotherham United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Rotherham United
44.12% ( 0.1)	24.32% ( -0.02)	31.56% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.28% (

0.05)

43.73% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89% (

0.05)

66.11% (

-0.05)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

0.06)

19.97% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86% (

0.1)

52.14% (

-0.09)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.02)

26.53% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-0.03)

61.73% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 44.12%

Rotherham United 31.56%

Draw 24.32%

Peterborough United	Draw	Rotherham United
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.12%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.56%