Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.