Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
58.68% ( 0.11)	20.7% ( 0.01)	20.62% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 60.61% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.54% (

-0.21)

36.46% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.4% (

-0.23)

58.6% (

0.23)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.78% (

-0.03)

12.23% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.08% (

-0.07)

37.92% (

0.07)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.23)

30.95% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.27)

67.25% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 58.68%

Newcastle United Under-21s 20.62%

Draw 20.7%

Rotherham United	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 58.68%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 20.62%