EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Jordan Hugill 20' goal
  • Jack Holmes 31' yellowcard
  • H 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 45'+2' goal
  • Cohen Bramall 56' yellowcard
  • Ben Hatton 63' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Hugill 72' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran Thompson 53'
  • goal Johnny Emerson 59'

Rotherham United vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.00pm
Rotherham 2 - 0 Mansfield

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 3, 2024 7.30pm
Bradford 2 - 2 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result

Rotherham United 58.68% (+0.12)
Draw 20.7% (+0.01)
Newcastle United Under-21s 20.62% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.61% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.54% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 36.46% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 41.4% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 58.6% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 23.28% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 76.73% (+0.19)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 87.78% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 12.23% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 62.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.92% (+0.08)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 30.95% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 32.75% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 67.25% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 58.68%
Draw 20.7%
Newcastle United Under-21s 20.62%
Rotherham United
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.95% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 58.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.33% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.78% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.7%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 20.62%