League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bolton

Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
42.46% ( -0.88)	24.56% ( 0.11)	32.97% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.23)

44.33% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.23)

66.71% (

0.23)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-0.49)

20.97% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

-0.78)

53.72% (

0.79)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

0.36)

25.95% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.48)

60.96% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 42.46%

Bolton Wanderers 32.97%

Draw 24.56%

Birmingham City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.46%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.97%