League One Gameweek 12
Bolton
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • George Johnston 47' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 61' goal
  • Randell Williams 63' goal
  • Randell Williams 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 24'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Whitfield 86'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+1'

Bolton Wanderers vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 2 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 3 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 64.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 19.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Burton Albion 16.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 36.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 89.11%
Under 0.5 10.89%
Over 1.5 64.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 35.03%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 64.17%
Draw 19.34%
Burton Albion 16.49%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.28%
3-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 64.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.34%
Burton Albion
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.49%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 26
Bolton
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jasper Moon 51' goal
  • Aaron Morley 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 57'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Gilligan 65'
League One Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Rekeem Harper 15' yellowcard
  • Mark Helm 46' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 56' yellowcard
  • Max Crocombe 57' yellowcard
  • Jake Caprice 74' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 84' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Carayol 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 20'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 44'
  • goal Dion Charles 58'
League One Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Josh Walker 59' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 5'
League One Gameweek 13
Bolton
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sam Hughes 73'
League One Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Bolton
  • Joe Powell 11' goal
  • John Brayford 14' goal
  • John Brayford 18' goal
  • Michael Mancienne 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 68'
  • goal Dion Charles 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 6
Bolton
Sep 6, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Jordan Williams 36' yellowcard
  • Ian Evatt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • George Johnston 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Akins 19'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Shaughnessy 80'
  • redcard John Brayford 86'

Form Data

Bolton 1 - 1 Aston Villa U21s
Bolton 2 - 2 Shrewsbury
Northampton 2 - 4 Bolton
Crawley 0 - 2 Bolton
Arsenal 5 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 5 - 2 Reading
Burton Albion 1 - 3 Bristol Rovers
Reading 3 - 1 Burton Albion
Blackpool 3 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Notts County
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Barnsley
Rotherham 2 - 2 Burton Albion