League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Aston Villa U21s (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
64.17% ( -0)	19.34% ( 0)	16.49% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.09% (

36.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.91% (

59.09% (

-0)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11%

10.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.97% (

35.03%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

35.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

72.31% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 64.17%

Burton Albion 16.49%

Draw 19.34%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.28% 3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.03% 4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.7% Total : 64.17%	1-1 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.34%	1-2 @ 4.59% 0-1 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.49%