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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.74%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.11%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 56.74% ( | 20.4% ( | 22.86% |
| Both teams to score 65.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.03% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.47% ( | 53.53% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.66% ( | 11.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.97% ( | 36.03% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( | 26.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 3.73% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.74% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 3% ( 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-1 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.01% Total : 22.86% |