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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
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Fleetwood Town

Reading
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Bindon (48'), Potter (86' og.)
Rushesha (6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 4-1 Reading
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Reading 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Having scored first in five of their last six outings, Reading will expect to make a fast start against Fleetwood, who have been off-colour of late. The hosts may be short of numbers, but there is still sufficient quality in their squad to ensure safe passage through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reading in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reading.

Result
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
43.42% (0.175 0.18) 24.33% (-0.064 -0.06) 32.26% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (0.264 0.26)43.46% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (0.258 0.26)65.86% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.187 0.19)20.17% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (0.298 0.3)52.46% (-0.296 -0.3)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.061000000000007 0.06)25.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.079000000000001 0.08)60.98% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.42%
    Fleetwood Town 32.26%
    Draw 24.32%
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Reading vs Fleetwood

Reading
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Fleetwood Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Fleetwood
1-1
Reading
Wiredu (90+5')
Adam (22')
Wing (74')
Bindon (21'), Mola (80'), Button (88')
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Reading
1-2
Fleetwood
Ballard (56')
Carson (90+7')
Lawal (2'), Vela (90+2')
Vela (88'), Stockley (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1484231151628
3Arsenal1484228141428
4Manchester CityMan City148242519626
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146532320323
6Fulham146442119222
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest146441616022
8Aston Villa146442223-122
9Bournemouth146352119221
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1462628151320
11Brentford146262726120
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle145541717020
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd145451715219
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham144371827-915
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester143471928-913
17Crystal Palace142661218-612
18Ipswich TownIpswich141671325-129
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves142392236-149
20Southampton1412111130-195


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