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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 59.45% ( | 23.11% ( | 17.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( | 51.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( | 73.52% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( | 17.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( | 47.27% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( | 43.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( | 79.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.44% |