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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 38.27% ( | 26.22% ( | 35.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( | 51.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( | 73.01% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( | 61.16% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( | 27.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( | 63.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.51% |