Accrington Stanley
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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Accrington Stanley

Grimsby Town
5 - 2
Accrington

Rodgers (2'), Luker (11'), Obikwu (19'), Davies (33' pen.), Aljofree (68' og.)
FT(HT: 4-0)
Henderson (63'), Woods (79')
Khumbeni (31'), Love (40'), Hunter (89'), Hunter (90+3'), O'Brien (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
38.27% (-0.875 -0.88)26.22% (0.566 0.57)35.51% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.44% (-1.872 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (-2.415 -2.42)51.16% (2.419 2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (-2.154 -2.15)73.01% (2.158 2.16)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-1.578 -1.58)26.1% (1.582 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-2.168 -2.17)61.16% (2.173 2.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)27.69% (0.969 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-1.257 -1.26)63.25% (1.261 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 38.27%
    Accrington Stanley 35.51%
    Draw 26.21%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.498 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.27%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.676 0.68)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.634 0.63)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
0-0
Grimsby Town
Woods (49')
Hume (79')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Grimsby Town
0-2
Accrington

Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Accrington
1-2
Grimsby Town
Jackson (45')
Hughes (65'), Wilks (90')
Jones (43'), Woolford (47')
Davies (12'), Matt (57'), Dembele (73')