League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Accrington

Smith (89'), Tilley (90+8')
Jackson (23'), Stevens (37'), Tilley (60'), Ball (70'), Neufville (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khumbeni (58'), Costelloe (76')
Woods (22'), Rawson (45+1'), Walton (88'), Hunter (90+9')
Rawson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
54.24% ( -1.33)	23.42% ( 0.59)	22.34% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33% (

-1.71)

46.67% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

-1.62)

68.94% (

1.62)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89% (

-1.08)

17.11% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.68% (

-1.94)

47.32% (

1.94)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.87% (

-0.26)

35.13% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11% (

-0.27)

71.89% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 54.24%

Accrington Stanley 22.34%

Draw 23.42%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.24%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 22.34%