League Two Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
Nov 19, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kingsmeadow
Accrington
  • Johnnie Jackson 23' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 37' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 60' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Ball 70' yellowcard
  • Alistair Smith 89' goal
  • Josh Neufville 90'+4' yellowcard
  • James Tilley 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 22'
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 45'+1'
  • goal Nelson Khumbeni 58'
  • goal Dara Costelloe 76'
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 88'
  • redcard Farrend Rawson 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+9'

AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 3 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Accrington 2 - 2 Swindon
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ben Woods

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 54.24% ▼ (-1.34)
Draw 23.42% ▲ (+0.60)
Accrington Stanley 22.34% ▲ (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.77% ▼ (-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.33% ▼ (-1.71)
Under 2.5 46.67% ▲ (+1.71)
Over 3.5 31.06% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 3.5 68.94% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 4.5 15.41% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 4.5 84.59% ▲ (+1.16)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 82.89% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 0.5 17.11% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 1.5 52.68% ▼ (-1.95)
Under 1.5 47.32% ▲ (+1.95)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 64.87% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 35.13% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 54.24%
Draw 23.42%
Accrington Stanley 22.34%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.38)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.33)
0-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.41)
1-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.34%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Accrington
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • Jack Nolan 50' goal
  • Ben Woods 81' goal
  • Jake Bickerstaff 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ball 36'
League Two Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Kingsmeadow
Accrington
  • Harry Pell 24' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 51' goal
  • Ali Al-Hamadi 68' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 70' goal
  • Huseyin Biler 82' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pritchard 4'
  • goal Tommy Leigh 9'
  • yellowcard Jay Bagueloc'rich 25'
  • goal Joe Pritchard 46'
  • yellowcard Brad Hills 54'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 63'
  • goal Brad Hills 83'
League One Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Accrington
  • Ayoub Assal 56' goal
  • Jack Rudoni 58' goal
  • Jack Rudoni 66' goal
  • Ben Heneghan 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Bagueloc'rich 18'
  • goal Colby Bishop 35'
  • goal Michael Nottingham 45'
  • goal John O'Sullivan 63'
  • yellowcard Jay Bagueloc'rich 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Butcher 81'
League One Gameweek 21
Accrington
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Wimbledon
  • Ethan Hamilton 45' yellowcard
  • Michael Nottingham 66' yellowcard
  • goal Luke McCormick 59'
  • goal Ayoub Assal 76'
League One Gameweek 41
Accrington
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT Wham Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
  • Michael Nottingham 5' goal
  • Cameron Burgess 56' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Palmer 21'
  • goal Ollie Palmer 42'
  • goal Ayoub Assal 45'+1'
  • goal Joe Pigott 57'
  • goal Ayoub Assal 64'
  • yellowcard Ayoub Assal 65'
  • yellowcard Ben Heneghan 67'
  • redcard Ben Heneghan 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Accrington
  • Ryan Longman 18' goal
  • Alex Woodyard 27' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Sykes 41'
  • goal Matt Butcher 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Cassidy 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Pritchard 90'+4'

Form Data

Barrow 1 - 3 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Grimsby Town
MK Dons 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 3 Brighton U21s
Port Vale 3 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 3 - 0 Morecambe
Accrington 2 - 2 Swindon
Chesterfield 0 - 3 Accrington
Rushall Olympic 0 - 2 Accrington
Accrington 2 - 1 Everton U21s
Accrington 0 - 0 Walsall
MK Dons 2 - 1 Accrington