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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 41.65% ( | 27.99% ( | 30.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.92% ( | 59.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% ( | 79.53% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( | 27.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( | 63.58% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 30.36% |