Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.