Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
57.36% ( -0.87)	20.96% ( 0.32)	21.68% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 61.35% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.77% (

-0.82)

36.23% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.65% (

-0.9)

58.35% (

0.89)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.47% (

-0.51)

12.53% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.45% (

-1.06)

38.55% (

1.06)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.02)

29.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.02)

65.96% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Barrow 57.36%

Aston Villa Under-21s 21.68%

Draw 20.96%

Barrow	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.14% Total : 57.36%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.68%