AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 3
Brighton U21s


Tilley (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vickers (56'), Peupion (69'), Moulton (85')
Knight (5'), Ifill (49')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-1 Derby U21s
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
50.85% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)22.32% (0.02 0.02)26.83% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 62.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)37.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.55% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)59.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)14.9% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)43.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.014000000000003 0.01)61.55% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 50.85%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 26.83%
    Draw 22.32%
AFC WimbledonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 50.85%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 26.83%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2020 6pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Brighton U21s
Robinson (20'), Roscrow (87' pen.)
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Brighton U21s
Tzanev (52' og.), Radulovic (89')
Richards (90')
rhs 2.0


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