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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 38.63% ( | 25.73% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( | 71.14% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( | 24.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( | 59.57% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( | 26.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( | 61.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 35.64% |