MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 14:34:37| >> :600:2067456:2067456:
Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
3 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Hopper (16'), Anderson (43'), Egbo (50')
Payne (46'), Goodliffe (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nichols (79'), Heaven (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Colchester United 2-2 Arsenal Under-21s (Colchester win on penalties)

Tuesday's tie has all the makings of a goal-laden thriller, as Arsenal's defending has been nothing short of woeful over the past few weeks, but Colchester are set to be working with limited options at the back. It may take the dreaded 12-yard shootout to settle these two teams, and Colchester's more experienced heads will likely prevail if that is the case, although both sides should be celebrating progression to the knockout rounds come full time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
51.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 21.62% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 27.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.45% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.35% (0.066999999999993 0.07)33.64% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)55.46% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.54% (0.061 0.06)40.46% (-0.067 -0.07)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.041000000000004 0.04)58.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 51.33%
    Arsenal Under-21s 27.04%
    Draw 21.62%
Colchester UnitedDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Colchester vs Arsenal U21s

Colchester United
59.1%
Draw
18.2%
Arsenal Under-21s
22.7%
22
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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