Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
51.33% ( 0.02)	21.62% ( -0.02)	27.04% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.45% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.35% (

0.07)

33.64% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.53% (

0.08)

55.46% (

-0.08)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

0.03)

13.46% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

0.06)

40.46% (

-0.07)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.03)

24.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.04)

58.77% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 51.33%

Arsenal Under-21s 27.04%

Draw 21.62%

Colchester United	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 51.33%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.04%