Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.