Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 59.54%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.