Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marco Asensio 57' goal
  • John McGinn 69' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 89' goal
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 72'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 89'

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2025 7.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result

Aston Villa 42.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 23.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Chelsea 33.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 37.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 82.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 77.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.39% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 42.97%
Draw 23.14%
Chelsea 33.89%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 42.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.14%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 33.89%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 7' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 36' goal
  • Cole Palmer 83' goal
  • Noni Madueke 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 61'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marc Cucurella 4' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 42' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 62'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 90'+10'
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'

Form Data

Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Ipswich
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Spurs
Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 2 Celtic
Aston Villa 1 - 1 West Ham
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 1 West Ham
Man City 3 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 1 Wolves
Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth

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