FA Cup
Feb 9, 2025 5.35pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Jacob Ramsey 2' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 65' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall 62'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 80'
  • goal Mathys Tel 90'+1'

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result

Aston Villa 56% (+0.23)
Draw 20.36% (+0.07)
Tottenham Hotspur 23.64% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.42% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.17% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 30.82% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 47.82% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 52.18% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 28.76% (-0.73)
Under 4.5 71.23% (+0.73)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 88.82% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 11.17% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 64.34% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 35.66% (+0.35)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 25.22% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 40.03% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 59.96% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 56%
Draw 20.36%
Tottenham Hotspur 23.64%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.32% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 4.94% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 56%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 2.82% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.36%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Brennan Johnson 49' goal
  • Pedro Porro 54' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 58' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 75' goal
  • Dominic Solanke 79' goal
  • James Maddison 90'+6' goal
  • goal Morgan Rogers 32'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • John McGinn 65' redcard
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 19'
  • goal James Maddison 50'
  • goal Brennan Johnson 53'
  • yellowcard Radu Dragusin 61'
  • goal Son Heung-min 90'+1'
  • goal Timo Werner 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Giovani Lo Celso 22' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 27'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 38'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 41'
  • goal Pau Torres 45'+7'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 61'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 82'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jacob Ramsey 8' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 72' goal
  • goal Harry Kane 90'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 1, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 50'
  • goal Douglas Luiz 73'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 21' yellowcard
  • Ashley Young 82' yellowcard
  • goal Son Heung-min 3'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 29'
  • goal Dejan Kulusevski 50'
  • goal Son Heung-min 66'
  • goal Son Heung-min 71'
  • yellowcard Emerson 74'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 90'+1'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups