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Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 9, 2025 at 5.35pm UK
Villa Park
Spurs logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Spurs

Ramsey (2'), Rogers (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tel (90+1')
Bentancur (60'), Bergvall (62'), Porro (80')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa survive a late scare to march into the fifth round of the FA Cup, eliminating Tottenham Hotspur with a 2-1 victory at Villa Park on Sunday evening.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Tottenham Hotspur.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Tottenham Hotspur's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Spurs
Thursday, February 6 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
56% (0.22799999999999 0.23) 20.36% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 23.64% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 66.42% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.17% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)30.82% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.82% (-0.804 -0.8)52.18% (0.805 0.81)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.152 -0.15)11.17% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)35.66% (0.342 0.34)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.593 -0.59)25.22% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.824 -0.82)59.96% (0.825 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 56%
    Tottenham Hotspur 23.64%
    Draw 20.36%
Aston VillaDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.168 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.192 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 8.51% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.36%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.64%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Spurs

Aston Villa
63.3%
Draw
11.1%
Tottenham Hotspur
25.6%
180
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 10
Spurs
4-1
Aston Villa
Johnson (49'), Solanke (75', 79'), Maddison (90+6')
Porro (54'), Romero (58')
Rogers (32')
Mar 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
0-4
Spurs

McGinn (65')
Maddison (50'), Johnson (53'), Heung-min (90+1'), Werner (90+4')
Sarr (19'), Dragusin (61')
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Spurs
1-2
Aston Villa
Lo Celso (22')
Torres (45+7'), Watkins (61')
Cash (27'), Kamara (38'), McGinn (41'), Watkins (82')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Aston Villa
2-1
Spurs
Ramsey (8'), Luiz (72')
McGinn (23'), Young (89'), Watkins (90+1'), Watkins (90+2')
Kane (90' pen.)
Skipp (53'), Kane (73'), Romero (80')
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs
0-2
Aston Villa
Buendia (50'), Luiz (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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