Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.