Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 28.57% ( | 24.2% ( | 47.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( | 44.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( | 67.07% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( | 29.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( | 64.92% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( | 19.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( | 50.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.45% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.24% |