Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 34' goal
  • Alexander Isak 57' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Doherty 26'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Agbadou 85'

Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 6, 2025 8.00pm
Wolves 0 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 71.84% (+0.96)
Draw 16.27% (-0.35)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 11.88% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.3% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 32.7% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 45.62% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 54.37% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 26.83% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 73.16% (-0.08)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 92.02% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 7.98% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 71.84% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 28.15% (-0.56)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 60.89% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 39.11% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 24.17% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 75.82% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 71.84%
Draw 16.27%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 11.88%
Newcastle United
2-0 @ 9.97% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.41% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.89% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.89% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.31% (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.99% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.69% (+0.14)
5-1 @ 2.52% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
6-1 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 71.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.27%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.15)
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 11.88%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Mario Lemina 36' goal
  • Rayan Ait-Nouri 63' yellowcard
  • Nelson Semedo 70' yellowcard
  • Andre 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joelinton 38'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 52'
  • goal Fabian Schar 75'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 80'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 14' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 33' goal
  • Tino Livramento 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Rayan Ait-Nouri 85'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Mario Lemina 36' goal
  • Hwang Hee-chan 71' goal
  • Rayan Ait-Nouri 83' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 22'
  • goal Callum Wilson 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 66'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 69'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alexander Isak 26' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 79' goal
  • goal Hwang Hee-chan 70'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nelson Semedo 28' yellowcard
  • Ruben Neves 38' goal
  • Pedro Neto 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 46'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 90'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Schar 56' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 72' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 87'

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups