FA Cup
Jan 12, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Lewis Miley 16' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 49' goal
  • Will Osula 61' goal
  • goal Cameron Congreve 8'

Newcastle United vs Bromley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Bromley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 71.48% (-0.05)
Draw 16.27% (-0.12)
Bromley 12.25% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.37% (+1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.38% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 31.62% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 46.88% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 53.12% (-1.18)
Over 4.5 27.93% (+1.03)
Under 4.5 72.07% (-1.03)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 92.2% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 7.79% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 72.31% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 27.68% (-0.61)

Bromley Goals

Over 0.5 62.22% (+0.94)
Under 0.5 37.78% (-0.94)
Over 1.5 25.44% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 74.55% (-0.90)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 71.48%
Draw 16.27%
Bromley 12.25%
Newcastle United
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.33)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.06% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.86% (+0.13)
5-0 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.59% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 2.47% (+0.11)
5-2 @ 1.26% (+0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 71.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.27%
Bromley
1-2 @ 3.56% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.25%