/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
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Lisandro Martinez
61'
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Alexander Isak
4'
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Joelinton
19'
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Fabian Schar
80'
Manchester United vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fmnudej.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmarcus-rashford_1.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fjoeln.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fbruno-fernandes.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Famad-diallo.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Ftino-livramento.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fruben-amorim_3.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Manchester United
48.04%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
22.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Newcastle United
29.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
64.73%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
35.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
42.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
57.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
24.2%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
75.8%
▲
(+0.11)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
84.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
15.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
56.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
43.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
76.34%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
23.66%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
42.23%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
57.77%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Manchester United
48.04%
Draw
22.37%
Newcastle United
29.59%
Manchester United
2-1
@
9.2%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 48.04%
1-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 48.04%
Draw
1-1
@
9.77%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.37%
2-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.37%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
7.04%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.59%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
Feature
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fruben-amorim.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fruben-amorim.jpg)