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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Newport County |
| 60.22% ( | 22.8% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( | 51.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( | 73.07% ( |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( | 16.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( | 46.47% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% ( | 43.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( | 79.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 60.21% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.98% |