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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
| 69.33% ( | 18.03% ( | 12.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( | 39.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( | 61.69% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% ( | 10.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.37% ( | 33.63% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.64% ( | 42.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.25% ( | 78.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 3-1 @ 7.34% ( 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 4-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 4.49% Total : 69.33% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.03% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 1-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.64% |