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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 67.62% ( | 19.82% ( | 12.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( | 69.76% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( | 13.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.32% ( | 39.68% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.3% ( | 47.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.99% ( | 83.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 3-0 @ 8.75% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 67.62% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 3.54% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.82% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.56% |