League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Newport

Smith (12'), Stevens (20')
Bugiel (45+1'), O'Toole (51'), Neufville (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Spellman (26'), McLoughlin (90+7' pen.)

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 30 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
69.13% ( -0.62)	19.18% ( 0.25)	11.7% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 44.85% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.09% (

-0.11)

46.91% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.84% (

-0.1)

69.16% (

0.11)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.55% (

-0.2)

12.45% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.61% (

-0.43)

38.39% (

0.44)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.23% (

0.6)

48.76% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.21% (

0.43)

83.78% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 69.12%

Newport County 11.7%

Draw 19.18%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Newport County
2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 69.12%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.18%	0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.7%