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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 44.03% ( | 26.46% ( | 29.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% ( | 53.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% ( | 75.21% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( | 69.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 8% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.5% |