EFL Trophy
Bolton
Nov 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood
  • Aaron Collins 26' goal
  • William Forrester 75' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Kayden Hughes 24'
  • goal Ryan Graydon 52'
  • yellowcard Phoenix Patterson 87'

Bolton Wanderers vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 8, 2024 7.45pm
Bolton 1 - 1 Aston Villa U21s

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
Fleetwood 3 - 0 Barrow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 57.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 20.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Fleetwood Town 21.57% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.4% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 36.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 41.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 58.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 23.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 76.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 87.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 61.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.12% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 34.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 65.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 57.53%
Draw 20.9%
Fleetwood Town 21.57%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
Fleetwood Town
1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Fleetwood
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Highbury Stadium
Bolton
  • Brendan Wiredu 36' yellowcard
  • Maleace Asamoah 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Thomason 41'
  • goal Dion Charles 49'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 83'
League One Gameweek 3
Bolton
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood
  • Victor Adeboyejo 3' goal
  • Ian Ross Evatt 11' redcard
  • Victor Adeboyejo 14' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Victor Adeboyejo 37' goal
  • Dion Charles 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dion Charles 67' redcard
  • Zac Ashworth 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Johnston 10'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 47'
  • yellowcard Promise Omochere 54'
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 79'
  • goal Josh Earl 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 45
Bolton
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood
  • Promise Omochere 18' goal
  • Kyle Dempsey 78' goal
League One Gameweek 19
Fleetwood
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Highbury Stadium
Bolton
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 16' goal
  • goal Conor Bradley 85'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 46
Bolton
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Fleetwood
  • Dion Charles 37' goal
  • Declan John 53' goal
  • Dion Charles 86' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+6' goal
  • goal Barry Baggley 17'
  • yellowcard Dylan Boyle 42'
  • goal Joe Garner 79'
  • yellowcard Joe Garner 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Pilkington 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 21
Fleetwood
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bolton
  • Gerard Garner 6' goal
  • Cian Hayes 26' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 35' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 77' goal
  • Harrison Biggins 79' goal
  • redcard Ricardo Santos 73'

Form Data

Stockport 5 - 0 Bolton
Walsall 2 - 1 Bolton
Stevenage 1 - 4 Bolton
Bolton 1 - 0 Peterborough
Birmingham 2 - 0 Bolton
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Fleetwood 1 - 0 Bradford
Reading 2 - 0 Fleetwood
Fleetwood 2 - 2 Salford City
Newport 0 - 0 Fleetwood
Fleetwood 0 - 1 Crewe
Port Vale 3 - 1 Fleetwood