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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
4 - 0
Swindon

Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
40.18% (-0.813 -0.81)25.33% (0.118 0.12)34.5% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.391 -0.39)47.42% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.362 -0.36)69.63% (0.36099999999999 0.36)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.575 -0.58)23.4% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.845 -0.84)57.38% (0.843 0.84)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.23 0.23)26.51% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.30399999999999 0.3)61.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 40.18%
    Swindon Town 34.5%
    Draw 25.33%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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