Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.68%) and 1-3 (5.26%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.