Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Villa Park
  • Morgan Rogers 3' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 5' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 60' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 90'+1' goal
  • goal Adam Idah 36'
  • goal Adam Idah 38'

Aston Villa vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 5.45pm
Monaco 1 - 0 Aston Villa

Celtic

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
Celtic 1 - 0 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.68%) and 1-3 (5.26%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 34.65% (+0.59)
Draw 22.24% (-0.03)
Celtic 43.1% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.77% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.51% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 32.48% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 45.87% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 54.13% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 27.05% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 72.95% (-0.31)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 19.46% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 48.67% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 51.32% (-0.71)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 84.15% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 15.85% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 54.95% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 45.04% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 34.66%
Draw 22.24%
Celtic 43.1%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 7.61% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.05% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.13% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.82% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.25% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 34.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 7.01% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.35% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.24%
Celtic
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.05)
3-4 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 43.1%

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups