Premier League Gameweek 27
Chelsea
Feb 25, 2025 8.15pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Southampton
  • Christopher Nkunku 24' goal
  • Pedro Neto 36' goal
  • Levi Colwill 44' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 66' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 78' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Onuachu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning 90'+1'

Chelsea vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Chelsea 78.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 12.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Southampton 8.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.01% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.14% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 24.86% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 55.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 44.73% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 35.74% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 64.26% ▲ (+0.21)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 94.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 5.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 79.87% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 20.13% ▲ (+0.13)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 61.09% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 38.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 24.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 75.63% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Chelsea 78.38%
Draw 12.87%
Southampton 8.75%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.51%
4-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.07%
Total : 78.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 12.87%
Southampton
1-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 8.75%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 14
Southampton
Dec 4, 2024 7.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Chelsea
  • Joe Aribo 11' goal
  • Jack Stephens 39' redcard
  • Adam Armstrong 47' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Disasi 7'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 17'
  • goal Noni Madueke 34'
  • goal Cole Palmer 77'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 87'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Chelsea
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 45'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Southampton
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Romeo Lavia 28' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 45'+1' goal
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Southampton
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 4
FT
Chelsea
  • Jan Bednarek 60' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Alonso 8'
  • goal Mason Mount 16'
  • goal Timo Werner 21'
  • goal Kai Havertz 31'
  • goal Timo Werner 49'
  • goal Mason Mount 54'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Stamford Bridge
Southampton
  • Kai Havertz 44' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 23'
  • goal Che Adams 47'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 80'
  • yellowcard Fraser Forster 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Chelsea
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Southampton
  • Trevoh Chalobah 9' goal
  • Thomas Tuchel 44' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 55' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 84' goal
  • Ben Chilwell 89' goal
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 34'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 61'
  • redcard James Ward-Prowse 77'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Salisu 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 90'+5'

Form Data

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 1 West Ham
Man City 3 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 1 Wolves
Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton
Southampton 1 - 3 Bournemouth
Southampton 0 - 1 Burnley
Ipswich 1 - 2 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 3 Newcastle
Nott'm Forest 3 - 2 Southampton

Build-up

News
News
News
News