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Lisandro Martinez
52'
-
Amad Diallo
82'
-
Amad Diallo
90'
-
Amad Diallo
90'+4'
-
Manuel Ugarte
43'
(OG)
-
Tyler Obling
45'
-
Mateus Fernandes
45'+1'
-
Flynn Downes
79'
Manchester United vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester United Goals
Southampton Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 64.27%
2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.94%
Head to Head
-
Maxwel Cornet
71'
-
Jack Stephens
79'
-
Russell Martin
81'
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Kobbie Mainoo
26'
-
Matthijs de Ligt
35'
-
Marcus Rashford
41'
-
Christian Eriksen
57'
-
Bruno Fernandes
68'
-
Harry Maguire
75'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
90'+6'
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Diogo Dalot
50'
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Bruno Fernandes
55'
-
Scott McTominay
83'
-
Fred
90'+6'
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Marcus Rashford
16'
-
Jadon Sancho
21'
-
Scott McTominay
31'
-
Paul Pogba
85'
-
Jesse Lingard
90'
-
Che Adams
48'
-
Fred
30'
-
Moussa Djenepo
51'
-
Jack Stephens
90'+2'
-
Bruno Fernandes
31'
-
Mason Greenwood
55'
-
Harry Maguire
76'
-
Paul Pogba
90'+1'
-
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
18'
-
Marcus Rashford
25'
-
Jan Bednarek
34'
-
Edinson Cavani
39'
-
Harry Maguire
52'
-
Donny van de Beek
53'
-
Anthony Martial
69'
-
Scott McTominay
71'
-
Bruno Fernandes
88'
-
Anthony Martial
90'
-
Daniel James
90'+3'
-
Alexandre Jankewitz
2'
-
Kayne Ramsey
42'
-
Jack Stephens
45'
-
Jan Bednarek
87'
-
Stuart Armstrong
89'
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