FA Cup
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsoulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Kamal Deen Sulemana
20'
-
Tyler Obling
35'
-
Tyler Obling
65'
-
Ryan Manning
90'+2'
-
Matt Grimes
60'
-
Joe Allen
78'
Southampton vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Ftyler-dibling.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result
Southampton
22.86%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
22.15%
Swansea City
55%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
40.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
37.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
62.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
19.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
80.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
68.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
31.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
32.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
67.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
85.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
14.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
57.25%
Under 1.5
42.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Southampton
22.86%
Draw
22.14%
Swansea City
55%
Southampton
2-1
@
5.96%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 22.86%
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 22.86%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
Swansea City
1-2
@
9.82%
0-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.29%
0-3 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 55%
0-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.29%
0-3 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 55%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
28
-
Jamie Paterson
40'
-
Jay Fulton
45'+2'
-
Harry Darling
78'
-
Che Adams
6'
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
17'
-
William Smallbone
20'
-
Flynn Downes
45'
-
Shea Charles
90'+6'
Championship
Gameweek
24
-
Joe Aribo
17'
-
Jan Bednarek
34'
-
Joe Aribo
38'
-
Samuel Edozie
48'
-
Ryan Fraser
74'
-
Ryan Fraser
87'
-
Che Adams
90'+3'
-
Liam Cullen
24'
-
Josh Tymon
55'
-
Jay Fulton
56'
-
Joe Allen
83'
FA Cup
-
Ryan Bennett
43'
-
Brandon Cooper
45'+1'
-
Liam Walsh
59'
-
Joel Piroe
77'
-
Yan Dhanda
90'+3'
-
Jan Bednarek
94'
-
Yan Valery
3'
-
Nathan Redmond
8'
-
Yan Valery
30'
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
95'
-
Shane Long
102'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Mohammed Salisu
13'
-
Nathan Tella
14'
-
Nathan Redmond
22'
-
Stuart Armstrong
57'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Che Adams
6'
-
Nathan Redmond
13'
-
Danny Ings
20'
-
James Ward-Prowse
34'
-
Ryan Bertrand
35'
-
Danny Ings
42'
-
James Ward-Prowse
45'
-
Jay Fulton
110'
Premier League
-
Ki Sung-yueng
20'
-
Federico Fernandez
94'
-
Oriol Romeu
38'
-
Manolo Gabbiadini
72'