FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 12, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
3 - 0
Swansea

Deen Sulemana (20'), Obling (35', 65')
Manning (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Grimes (60'), Allen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Swansea City
22.86% ( 0.01)	22.15%	55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

0.01)

40.39% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.23% (

0.01)

62.77% (

-0)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

0.01)

31.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

0.01)

67.52% (

-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

14.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25%

42.76% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Southampton 22.86%

Swansea City 55%

Draw 22.14%

Southampton	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 22.86%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55%