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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 43.11% ( | 26.41% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( | 74.69% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( | 31.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( | 68.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.48% |