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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 3
Sunderland

Vipotnik (5', 5'), Cullen (17', 17')
Cabango (22')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Ballard (28'), Neill (73'), Bellingham (75')
Bellingham (16'), Bellingham (16'), Cirkin (52'), Rigg (89'), Isidor (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Swansea
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
43.11% (0.132 0.13)26.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)30.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.12% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)74.69% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.050000000000011 0.05)24.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.07 0.07)58.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.113 -0.11)31.96% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-0.131 -0.13)68.42% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.11%
    Sunderland 30.48%
    Draw 26.4%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.48%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
13.8%
Sunderland
27.6%
29
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Sunderland
1-2
Swansea
O'Nien (77')
Hume (45+4'), Dodds (46')
Pereira Martins (19', 28')
Paterson (45+5'), Cabango (45+5'), Darling (90+2'), Tymon (90+4')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swansea
0-0
Sunderland
Patino (10'), Duff (11'), Fulton (50'), Darling (80')
Patino (30')
Rusyn (20'), Ballard (52'), O'Nien (90+3')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sunderland
1-3
Swansea
Neill (64')
Piroe (50'), Cullen (70'), Cooper (78')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
2-1
Sunderland
Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Clarke (51')
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')